According to Xinhua News Agency, on December 25th, the General Office of the CPC Central Committee and the General Office of the State Council issued the Opinions on Promoting the Reform of the System and Mechanism of Social Mobility of Labor and Talents.
The Opinions put forward that the household registration system and public services should be used to promote regional mobility. We will completely abolish the restrictions on the settlement of cities with a permanent urban population of less than 3 million, and fully relax the conditions for the settlement of big cities with a permanent urban population of 3 million to 5 million.
further clarify the urban standards
Guo Shiying, an analyst at Zhuge Housing Search Data Research Center, said: "The significance of this Opinion is twofold. On the one hand, it accelerates the urbanization rate and population inflow of small cities, promotes the gradual transfer of rural population to cities and towns, and ensures the vitality of urban population; On the other hand, the total cancellation of the restrictions on the settlement of cities with a permanent population of less than 3 million in urban areas has a certain degree of positive effect on the real estate market of such cities, which has improved the market expectations of such cities. "
In fact, on April 8 this year, the National Development and Reform Commission issued the Key Tasks of New Urbanization Construction in 219, which mentioned that the reform of household registration system should be intensified. On the basis that small and medium-sized cities and small towns with a permanent population of less than 1 million in urban areas have gradually lifted the restrictions on settlement, type II big cities with a permanent population of 1 million to 3 million in urban areas should completely lift the restrictions on settlement; I-type big cities with a permanent population of 3 million to 5 million in urban areas should fully liberalize and relax the conditions for settlement, and completely cancel the restrictions on the settlement of key groups.
Yan Yuejin, research director of the think tank center of Yiju Research Institute, thinks: "The Key Tasks of New Urbanization Construction in 219 was issued by the National Development and Reform Commission in April this year, and the Opinions were issued by the General Office of the Central Committee of China and the General Office of the State Council, with a higher level, which has a more positive role in promoting the reform of household registration policy and meets the development needs of new urbanization construction in 22."
Yan Yuejin analyzed that the Opinions further clarified the urban standards. Previously, there were often similar divisions such as "type II big cities". This time, the division of cities is more clear, that is, cities with a permanent population of less than 3 million in the urban area can relax the restrictions on settlement. "This will have a great impact on many prefecture-level cities. Relaxation and settlement can directly stimulate the demand for buying houses. Moreover, since the total cancellation is mentioned, the subsequent constraints will be reduced, and it will be easier for labor, population or talents to settle in cities."
the city scale division standard promulgated by the State Council in p>214.
The developers in 7 cities including Hangzhou, Suzhou and Zhengzhou
think: "In the past, provincial capitals with large population all had policies of restricting purchases and sales to varying degrees. If people relax their settlement, it may bring demand to the real estate market, which is good for the real estate market."
According to the Statistical Yearbook of Urban and Rural Construction in 217 published by the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, there are nearly 7 cities with an urban population of 1 million to 5 million, among which cities with a population of 3 million to 5 million include Xi 'an, Shenyang, Harbin, Kunming, Zhengzhou, Hangzhou, Jinan, Qingdao, Dalian, Changchun and Taiyuan. There are 59 big cities with a permanent population of 1 million to 3 million, including Shijiazhuang, Hefei, Fuzhou, Nanchang, Guiyang, Lanzhou, Xining, Taiyuan, Changsha, Haikou, Urumqi, Hefei, Suzhou, Wuxi and Nantong.
according to the analysis report from guosheng securities, 3 million to 5 million type I big cities, such as Hangzhou in the three major urban agglomerations of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao, and Zhengzhou and Xi 'an, the first cities in urban agglomerations outside the three major urban agglomerations, will all be affected by the above policies.
At the same time, the report points out that after the hukou of Type II big cities with a permanent urban population of 1 million to 3 million is fully opened, it will be greatly affected by the policy, including Wuxi and Ningbo in the three major urban agglomerations of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta and Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao, and the second and third cities outside the three major urban agglomerations, such as Changsha.
It is conducive to alleviating the inventory pressure of third-and fourth-tier cities
According to the inventory report of China 1 cities of Yiju Research Institute, by the end of November 219, the total inventory of newly-built commercial housing in 1 cities in three categories of cities (first-tier, second-tier, third-and fourth-tier cities) and * * * was 27.99 million square meters, 241.57 million square meters and 24.3 million square meters respectively, with a growth rate of 3.7% from the previous month.
as can be seen from the data of three types of cities, all three types of cities have entered the channel of positive inventory growth year-on-year. Among them, the positive growth of first-tier cities lasted for 18 months, second-tier cities lasted for 7 months, and third-and fourth-tier cities lasted for 13 months. This also shows that all three types of cities are facing new inventory pressures.
Yan Yuejin believes: "Objectively speaking, the current real estate market is also facing the confusion of insufficient demand for house purchase, and the pressure of new inventory begins to increase. For some third-and fourth-tier cities, especially those with a population of less than 3 million, it is very important to actively destock. The starting point of this policy is to promote population mobility, but objectively it will also release new demand for house purchase, which will have a positive effect on the activity of the real estate market in 22, and the real estate market will not be too pessimistic. "
Mega-cities should simplify the points items
For cities with a population of more than 5 million, the Opinions propose to improve the points settlement policy for mega-cities with a permanent population of more than 5 million, streamline the points items, and ensure that social insurance payment years and residence years account for the main proportion.
at the same time, we will promote the equalization of basic public services, so that permanent residents can enjoy the same basic public services as registered residents, such as education, employment and entrepreneurship, social insurance, medical care and housing security. We will explore and promote the direct settlement of outpatient expenses in different places in a safe and orderly manner, and improve the convenience of reimbursement of medical expenses. Further play the role of urbanization in promoting the social mobility of labor and talents, fully implement the fiscal policy to support the citizenization of agricultural transfer population, promote the increase of urban construction land scale to be linked with the number of agricultural transfer population, and promote the investment arrangement in the central budget to be inclined to cities and towns with a large number of agricultural transfer population.
According to the urban population statistics in the 217 Urban Construction Statistical Yearbook of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, mega-cities include Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen, Chongqing, Tianjin, Chengdu, Guangzhou, Nanjing and Wuhan.
In this regard, the CITIC Securities report predicts that mega-cities will greatly increase the scale of settlement and improve the settlement policy for points. The settlement of these cities has gradually shifted from restriction to encouragement, which objectively promotes the release of self-occupation demand in cities with restricted purchases.